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Game Preview: Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies
When: Friday, October 27th, 6:00 PM CST
Where: FedEx Forum, Memphis, TN
How to Watch/Stream: Bally Sports Southeast
It’s here, friends. We made it. The NBA is back, and that means Memphis hoops are back.
Granted, could the Grizzlies have had a better return to the Forum? Sure. A 111-104 beatdown at the hands of the Pelicans is not my idea of a fun Wednesday night. I bet it’s not the guys’ either.
No matter; it is a long season, after all. Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr., and company will get a bounce-back opportunity on Friday. That evening, the defending champs—the Denver Nuggets—are coming to town.
Last season, Memphis played Denver three times. They went 1-2 in those games. It’s worth noting that in one of those losses, Aaron Gordon did not play, and Jokić still posted a triple-double.
And Morant was active in those contests, too. All that to say, the Grizzlies may have their hands full before they can enjoy their weekend. With their frontcourt still banged up, who will Memphis throw at the Joker?
It’s only the second game, but there are already plenty of narratives to keep your eyes on. Here’s what’s worth watching out for in tonight’s contest.
Who Will the Grizzlies Throw at Jokić?
The above—I imagine—is the question that every team in the league asks themselves. Who on the roster do teams have that they can throw at the two-time former MVP of the league? And would Memphis deem its own answer satisfactory?
My guess is no, being that both Steven Adams and Santi Aldama are currently listed as “Out” for Friday. That’s at least two big bodies the Grizzlies would have in a normal regular season they can’t call on.
So, they’re left with three guys: Jaren Jackson Jr., Xavier Tillman Sr., and Kenneth Lofton Jr. That’s it for the time being. Considering Memphis’ three games against Denver last year, it may be on shakier ground than that.
Jaren had 13 personal fouls across the three contests. He also had single-digit points in two of the three. Now, he did have nine blocks as well, a trend he continued on Wednesday. But the bottom line? Evidence shows Trip may need some assistance against Jokić.
That leaves X and Junior. To Tillman’s credit, he has actually handled himself quite well against Denver in the past. He saw time in only two of the games, as Adams had yet to injure his knee in one of them. Still, he tallied one double-double (11 PTS, 10 REB) and damn near a second one (12 PTS, 7 REB). He’ll hold his own, but it can’t be on only him.
But at this point? That’s where we’re at… Because who knows what happens with the Junior saga? I would’ve thought Coach Jenkins would hand out minutes to him in Game 1. You know, on account of him being one of three bigs on the roster. I assumed he would at least—you know—play because we were in desperate need of him.
But you know what happens when you assume, right? You make an ass out of you and me. I cannot tell you how often my old man directed that idiom at me. In this scenario, though…I find myself pushing back. How so, if I may ask? How are we the ones who look foolish when it makes every bit of sense to play Junior?
Memphis is in desperate need of size in these first two games. Why is TJ planting his flag on this hill? It seems we are missing part of the picture. Or at least I assume so.
Give Taylor Jenkins (Some) Time to Fix the Rotation…
It’s been a small sample size, but the bench still needs some fine-tuning. I say that with all the love and understanding that I can. The second unit deserves some grace, after all.
As they were down Aldama—and remain so tonight—they were missing what figures to be a key piece in their rotation. Meaning the reserves included David Roddy, Luke Kennard, Derrick Rose, and Jake LaRavia. No shade, but I don’t see that lineup putting the fear of the hoops gods into folks.
At least, not in its current configuration. Roddy was the only one of the group that I would argue produced at an appropriate level in the opener. And Memphis needed every bit of his production (9 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST) to stay with NOLA.
Derrick Rose was good enough, but I’d even think he’d tell you the nerves may have paid him a visit pregame. As such, his shot wasn’t always falling, but the vet has been around the league too long—he’s too good for it not to. He’ll remain important throughout the season.
Speaking of shots not falling, it may be time to put out a missing persons report. I’ve been looking for the Luke Kennard from last season to show up, but he’s yet to make it. As is, we will have to wait a bit longer with the sharpshooter entering concussion protocol. The Grizzlies will be without ‘Nardo’ tonight.
And to be blunt, there are at least three players I would’ve let see the court before LaRavia. I’d have played Junior—if that wasn’t already clear—before him. I’d have called him up and played Vince Williams Jr.—he’s a better Jake—before him. And—you all know my relationship with ‘Jitty’—I would’ve played John Konchar before him.
All three would’ve given Memphis more of a shot Wednesday, and all three will give us more of a shot against Denver. As this section’s header stated, TJ will need more time to figure out his reserve situation. I will give him some, but we have to be cautious. If he takes too long through these first 25 games, it won’t matter. It’ll be too late for the Grizzlies.
How Long Will Poor 3PT Shooting Plague Memphis?
After ranking in the bottom third of the league last year, I hoped it would be different. I’m speaking, of course, of their 3PT shooting. I guess I could be talking about their shooting at the free-throw line… But one game in, that appears to have improved (80% against the Pelicans).
No, after being the recipients of barrages from beyond the arc last year, I assumed they’d be better. It seemed night in and night out that the opponent’s routine was to catch fire with treys against Memphis.
Through six games—five preseason, one regular season—the Grizzlies have attempted 268 threes… While making only 84 of them. That’s a rate of 31.3%, which would’ve been good enough for dead-last in the 2022-23 season.
The thing is, everyone is shooting the ball badly right now. Everyone except Bane. That would be fine, except at this point for every one of these…
…It seems there have been five of these following it. It has made the offense seem out of sorts through the preseason. And now, it’s carried over to the opener.
Look, the nature of shooting is as such: you have hot streaks and cold streaks. The Grizzlies are on one of the cold streaks right now. What’s worrisome is this cold streak has lasted for a while now. They’ll need to reverse the narrative and start one of those hot streaks soon… Or Memphis could be in for a long season.
Photo credit: (Joe Rondone/USA TODAY Sports)
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